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Archived Book Review

Moore, T.G.  1998.  Climate of Fear: Why We Shouldn't Worry About Global Warming.  Cato Institute, Washington, D.C.

This little volume of 175 pages, including eight-and-a-half tightly packed pages of references, begins with an indictment of the current U.S. administration led by President Clinton and his Vice President, Al Gore, who has divined that the threat of global warming, resulting from the production of greenhouse gases (primarily carbon dioxide), is the most serious problem our civilization faces and that we simply must do something about it.

The author follows with the declaration, based on a large body of evidence, that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant but an aerial fertilizer often in short supply, and that "most people, in most places will be better off in a warmer world."

Moore further states that even if the most dire forecasts of the global alarmists prove true and the planet gets as hot as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts (which is not likely based on projections of historical surface and satellite temperature readings), the polar ice caps will not melt, millions will not collapse and die from heat waves, insect borne diseases will not spread, catastrophic droughts will not become more frequent or intense, and there will be no mass destruction of species due to climate change.  These conclusions are supported in the chapters on the Science Behind Prediction of Climate Change and Health Effects of Global Warming.  The author cautions, however, that a warmer world could produce a rise in sea level, but not a disastrous one; for it could be countered by the construction of dikes and levees, and the burden would be spread over the next 100 years.  He declares as nonsense the claim that the precautionary principle requires action to curb CO2 emissions and to reduce the specter of change.  Using cost-benefit analysis, it is shown that the expense of slowing global warming would exceed projected benefits by a substantial margin, and that any results would be miniscule.  The right strategy for the U.S., Moore suggests, should be to do nothing, except perhaps help poor countries improve their economies, which it is already doing.

Apparently, the author attended the Kyoto meetings; for he gives a first-hand account of what occurred there and pronounces them futile.  He states that no one can have a reasonable idea about the nature of technology, population or energy sources a century into the future.  Any commitment to restrictions in greenhouse gas emissions without considering how to achieve them or the costs involved would therefore be folly, he suggests.

Hysteria, rather than rationality, has taken over much of our political environment and drives the discussions of potential global climate change.  According to Moore, a steady drumbeat of propaganda from the White House is stampeding the country to adopt an unsure and expensive course.  He concludes that no matter what scheme is adopted to limit greenhouse gas emissions, the United States and the world will all be losers.

The chapter on Historical Evidence on Climate and Human Well Being is a masterpiece.  It repeatedly refers to the writings of H. H. Lamb, the great historian of climate, and is a well-documented encyclopedic dissertation on the economics of global warming, making it very clear that human welfare and happiness will be favored on a warmer, not a colder, planet.  It also describes how the rising level of atmospheric carbon dioxide will benefit agriculture and forestry, noting that any cutback in fossil fuel useage will severely cripple the economies of the more affluent developed countries, especially the United States.

The author concludes that controls on carbon dioxide emissions will have an overall negative impact on human welfare and health, energy use and conservation, food production and forestry output, and will be relatively ineffective and extremely costly.  This book should be carefully studied by the governments of all nations that are, or are anticipating becoming, parties to the evolving global convention on global climate change.


Last updated 15 December 1998