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Is there a 21st Century Warming Pause in the United Arab Emirates?

Paper Reviewed
Basarir, A., Arman, H., Hussein, S., Murad, A., Aldahan, A. and Abdulla Al-Abri, M. 2017. Trend detection in climate change indicators using non-parametric statistics: A case study of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Acta Physica Polonica A 132: 655-657.

According to climate model projections, temperatures should be rising all across the globe in response to ever-increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. However, for the past two decades global surface air temperatures have not warmed to the degree predicted by the models, which lack of warming has proven problematic to climate alarmists, who continue to claim that planetary temperatures are soaring.

Over the years, we have highlighted several studies that show this 21st century global warming pause or hiatus. Our latest example comes from the Arabian Peninsula, which Basarir et al. (2017) note, "is expected to experience increasing temperature in the future, as suggested by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change."

As their contribution to this topic, the team of six scientists analyzed temperatures from fourteen United Arab Emirates locations over the period 2003-2015. Using the Mann-Kendall non-parametric test on the monthly temperature time series of each of these stations, the authors determined that "there is no trend [in] the temperature data, which seem to be randomly and independently ordered."

Amazing! Not one of the fourteen stations experienced statistically significant temperature trends over the period 2003-2015. It would thus appear that the great 21st century global warming pause is alive and well in the United Arab Emirates!

Posted 26 September 2018