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Assessing the Likely Future Status of Forests in the United States

Paper Reviewed
Loehle, C., Idso, C. and Wigley, T.B. 2016. Physiological and ecological factors influencing recent trends in United States forest health responses to climate change. Forest Ecology and Management 363: 179-189.

In a review and analysis of pertinent scientific literature, Loehle et al. (2016) assess the likely growth trajectories of U.S. forests in response to potential environmental changes that many people believe will be driven by continued atmospheric CO2 enrichment, which phenomenon such believers further assume will be detrimental to forests growing everywhere. However, via their study of pertinent scientific literature, Loehle et al. found just the opposite to be the case.

In the event of significant future warming, for example, the three researchers report that "tree species have been shown to acclimate to changes in temperature," citing the work of Gunderson et al. (2010), who found that "warming treatments resulted in a shift in the temperature response curves for CO2 assimilation, such that tree leaves in warmer treatments had higher temperature optima." And to further support this positive tree response to warming, they cite the additional studies of Idso et al. (1989), Baker et al. (1992), Idso et al. (1995), Faria et al. (1996), Nijs and Impens (1996), Rowland-Bamford et al. (1996) and Vu et al. (1997). In addition, they note that "the optimum temperature for plant growth generally rises with atmospheric CO2 enrichment," citing the work of Berry and Bjorkman (1980), Jurik et al. (1984), and Taiz and Zeiger (1991).

As for the climate-alarmist contention that rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations will lead to more frequent and severe droughts that could have strong negative consequences for U.S. forests, Loehle et al. write that "the United States as a whole has not experienced any increase in drought over the past century, and has experienced actually the converse." In any event, they note that "elevated levels of atmospheric CO2 influence tree response to drought by increasing water use efficiency," citing the work of Feng (1999), Wyckoff and Bowers (2010), Brienen et al. (2011) and Keenan et al. (2013).

Air pollution is another phenomenon that can raise havoc with forest trees. But, again, the three researchers note that pertinent studies have documented "a reduction in detrimental effects of ozone with elevated CO2 on properties related to the growth and health of trees," citing Grams et al. (1999), Wustman et al. (2001), Percy et al. (2002), Peltonen et al. (2005) and Kostiainen et al. (2008). And in the cases of pests and pathogens, they cite still other studies that suggest that much the same holds true for them as well, i.e., that rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations also help trees to successfully deal with this latter pair of challenges.

And so it is that we begin to see a host of ways in which the ongoing rise of the air's CO2 content is helping to enhance the growth and development of forests throughout the United States. And what atmospheric CO2 enrichment can do for U.S. forests, it can do for the forests of the rest of the world as well.

References
Baker, J.T., Allen Jr., L.H. and Boote, K.J. 1992. Response of rice to carbon dioxide and temperature. Agricultural and Forest meteorology 60: 153-166.

Berry, J. and Bjorkman, O. 1980. Photosynthetic response and adaptation to temperature in higher plants. Annual Review of Plant Physiology 31: 491-543.

Brienen, R.J.W., Wanek, W. and Hietz, P. 2011. Stable carbon isotopes in tree rings indicate improved water use efficiency and drought responses of a tropical dry forest tree species. Trees 25: 103-113.

Faria, T., Wilkins, D., Besford, R.T., Vaz, M., Pereira, J.S. and Chaves, M.M. 1996. Growth at elevated CO2 leads to down-regulation of photosynthesis and altered response to high temperature in Quercus suber L. seedlings. Journal of Experimental Botany 47: 1755-1761.

Feng, X. 1999. Trends in intrinsic water-use efficiency of natural trees for the past 100-200 years: a response to atmospheric CO2 concentration. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 63: 1891-1903.

Grams, T.E.E., Anegg, S., Haberle, K.-H., Langebartels, C. and Matyssek, R. 1999. Interactions of chronic exposure to elevated CO2 and O3 levels in the photosynthetic light and dark reactions of European beech (Fagus sylvatica). New Phytologist 144: 95-107.

Idso, S.B., Allen, S.G., Anderson, M.G. and Kimball, B.A. 1989. Atmospheric CO2 enrichment enhances survival of Azolla at high temperatures. Environmental and Experimental Botany 29: 337-341.

Idso, S.B., Idso, K.E., Garcia, R.L., Kimball, B.A. and Hoober, J.K. 1995. Effects of atmospheric CO2 enrichment and foliar methanol application on net photosynthesis of sour orange tree (Citrus aurantium; Rutaceae) leaves. American Journal of Botany 82: 26-30.

Jurik, T.W., Weber, J.A. and Gates, D.M. 1984. Short-term effects of CO2 on gas exchange of leaves of bigtooth aspen (Populus grandidentata) in the field. Plant Physiology 75: 1022-1026.

Keenan, T.F., Hollinger, D.Y., Bohrer, G., Dragoni, D., Munger, J.W., Schmid, H.P. and Richardson, A.D. 2013. Increase in forest water-use efficiency as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rise. Nature 499: 324-327.

Kostianien, K., Kaakinen, S., Warsta, E., Kubiske, M.E., Nelson, N.D., Sober, J., Karnosky, D.F., Saranpaa, P. and Vapaavuori, E. 2008. Wood properties of trembling aspen and paper birch after 5 years of exposure to elevated concentrations of CO2 and O3. Tree Physiology 28: 805-813.

Nijs, I. and Impens, I. 1996. Effects of elevated CO2 concentration and climate-warming on photosynthesis during winter in Lolium perenne. Journal of Experimental Botany 47: 915-924.

Peltonen, P.A., Vapaavuori, E. and Julkunen-Tiitto, R. 2005. Accumulation of phenolic compounds in birch leaves is changed by elevated carbon dioxide and ozone. Global Change Biology 11: 1305-1324.

Percy, K.E., Awmack, C.S., Lindroth, R.L., Kubiske, M.E., Kopper, B.J., Isebrands, J.G., Pregitzer, K.S., Hendrey, G.R., Dickson, R.E., Zak, D.R., Oksanen, E., Sober, J., Harrington, R. and Karnosky, D.F. 2002. Altered performance of forest pests under atmospheres enriched by CO2 and O3. Nature 420: 403-407.

Rowland-Bamford, A.J., Baker, J.T., Allen Jr., L.H. and Bowes, G. 1996. Interactions of CO enrichment and temperature on carbohydrate accumulation and partitioning in rice. Environmental and Experimental Botany 36: 111-124.

Taiz, L. and Zeiger, E. 1991. Plant Physiology. Benjamin-Cummings, Redwood City, California, USA.

Vu, J.C.V., Allen Jr., L.H., Boote, K.J. and Bowes, G. 1997. Effects of elevated CO2 and temperature on photosynthesis and Rubisco in rice and soybean. Plant, Cell and Environment 20: 68-76.

Wustman, B.A., Oksanen, E., Karnosky, D.F., Noormets, A., Isebrands, J.G., Pregitzer, K.S., Hendrey, G.R., Sober, J. and Podila, G.K. 2001. Effects of elevated CO2 and O3 on aspen clones varying in O3 sensitivity: Can CO2 ameliorate the harmful effects of O3? Environmental Pollution 115: 473-481.

Wyckoff, P.H. and Bowers, R. 2010. Response of the prairie-forest border to climate change: impacts of increasing drought may be mitigated by increasing CO2. Journal of Ecology 98: 197-208.

Posted 18 April 2016