How does rising atmospheric CO2 affect marine organisms?

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Genetic Adaptation to Extreme Environmental Change
Lande, R. 2009. Adaptation to an extraordinary environment by evolution of phenotypic plasticity and genetic assimilation. Journal of Evolutionary Biology 22: 1435-1446.

In setting the stage for what follows, the author writes that "the primary mechanisms of phenotypic adaptation are Darwinian evolution by natural selection on genetic variation, and phenotypic plasticity through environmental influence on individual development," stating that "rapid phenotypic adaptation may be necessary to prevent [the] extinction of modern species subject to anthropogenic global warming, especially those [species] with long generations such as large-bodied vertebrates and perennial plants."

What was done
Noting that "genetic variance in plasticity within and/or among populations has commonly been observed (Scheiner, 1993, 2002)," Lande states that he employed "quantitative genetic models of phenotypic plasticity to analyze the dynamics of phenotypic adaptation to a sudden extreme environmental change" that is "beyond the usual range of background environmental fluctuations."

What was learned
In describing his (model output) findings, the Imperial College (UK) biologist reports that "during the first generation in the new environment the mean fitness suddenly drops and the mean phenotype jumps towards the new optimum phenotype by plasticity," after which "adaptation occurs in two phases." First, "rapid evolution of increased plasticity allows the mean phenotype to closely approach the new optimum," after which the new phenotype "undergoes slow genetic assimilation, with reduction in plasticity [that is] compensated by genetic evolution of reaction norm elevation in the original environment."

What it means
There is a sound observational and mechanistic basis for believing that earth's flora and fauna are genetically capable of meeting the challenge of coping with the type of rapid CO2-induced global warming that climate alarmists contend will drive innumerable plant and animal species to extinction.

Scheiner, S.M. 1993. Genetics and evolution of phenotypic plasticity. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 24: 35-68.

Scheiner, S.M. 2002. Selection experiments and the study of phenotypic plasticity. Journal of Evolutionary Biology 15: 889-898.

Reviewed 23 September 2009